Talking Stock With The Doc

This Blog has been created for the purpose of sharing my ideas on investing on Bursa Malaysia using Technical Analysis. Stock market investing is a science & TA a scientific tool used by investment professionals. TA also has its sceptics but this is an oportunity for you to follow TA based investing ideas. So welcome to my blog and may you "Live Long And Prosper".

Saturday, August 12, 2006

Plantation Theme + Stocks

1) Plantation Index - Moving up very strongly. Broke thru resistance of 3567 very strongly with long white candles on high volume on Thursday & Friday. Also in the upper band of the Bollinger Band & above the 5,10,15 & 20-day MAV. Daily & weekly RSI & MACD are positive. It should continue rising with short corrections in between. One reader said that Hedge Funds are involved in pushing up CPO prices & this Index. That may be true but that does not mean we shud avoid this sector. We shud benefit from this but keep an eye on technicals & take small profits along the way. However fundamentals are there with lower peanut & soya yield in India & USA respectively, higher demand from India, China & from biodiesel usage & also lower stocks of palm oil in M'sia & Indonesia. Rising oil prices will also mean more interest in biodiesel & higher CPO. Just like oil prices, lower supplies & higher demand equals higher prices. This play may still have some legs to go. Enjoy the ride & if you had bought some of my early picks, you'd be up very well. Some stock analyses follow.


2) Asiatic - Broke out of its recent resistance at 3.58 very strongly on high volume. Daily & weekly RSI & MACD are positive, its also above the 5,10,15 & 20-day MAV. Looks good to hit its next target of 3.92 & beyond that is its all time high of 5.15, but that is a pretty high target, possible, but we have to watch the signals. But for now its should still continue rising.


3) IJM Plantations - One of my early recommendations. Superb stock & Friday it shot through its recent & historical high of 1.62 on very high volume. Its above the 5,10,15 & 20-day MAV, its just above the upper Bollinger Band (still ok) & MACD just made a golden cross. RSI is positive. Overall a very good stock & still a BUY.


4) Kretam - I am reviewing for the first time. Just started its rise so its a laggard stock. The bollinger band has just started expanding & prices are within the upper band & rising. It has moved above the 5,10, 15 & 20 day MAV, RSI & MACD are positive & Volume is rising. The weekly signals are also positive. This laggard is showing signs of catching up with its bigger cousins. Initial resistance are at 0.62 & 0.70. Signals indicate a BUY.


5) Kulim is another recommendation that has done well. It is above the 5,10,15 & 20-day MAV & is also riding along the top end of the Bollinger band. The rise has been punctuated by intermittent corrections which is healthy. Daily RSI & MACD are still positive & despite the rise are not overbought, although the weekly RSI is very overbought. Historical high is 5.20 & its 50:50 that it may just reach that high. Rising CPO prices may take it there. Bec of the swift rise I am keeping an eagle eye on the candlesticks looking for a correction & also if it falls below the 5 & 10-day MAV I will consider a top, but for now all signals still do not show a correction.


6) Rimbunan Sawit - Another one of my early recommendations has performed admirably. It is currently above the 5,10,15 & 20-day MAV & within the rising channel. As a recent listing, we don't have enough data to plot & seek many signals like MACD, RSI etc, so the use of several MAVs is suitable. I will continue to hold this until it falls below the 10-day MAV, only then will it trigger my sell call.

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