Talking Stock With The Doc

This Blog has been created for the purpose of sharing my ideas on investing on Bursa Malaysia using Technical Analysis. Stock market investing is a science & TA a scientific tool used by investment professionals. TA also has its sceptics but this is an oportunity for you to follow TA based investing ideas. So welcome to my blog and may you "Live Long And Prosper".

Wednesday, July 19, 2006

Update KLCI, Tebrau, RHB, Utama

1) KLCI - While movement has been positive since coming off the 900 low on Monday, volume has not been great, Daily MACD & RSI are still trending down (despite index moving up, thus a divergence, which is not a good sign). The 10, 21, 30 & 50-day Moving Averages still not in uptrend yet (X), so we still cannot say the CI is positive. There is very strong resistance at the long term uptrend channel A-B. Index has to break strongly above 922 to move positively into this channel. While I don't want to appear too negative, I think this short term rise will be capped at this level & CI might trend down again but good support is at 900. I would hold off buying till indicators turn more positive.


2) Tebrau - has formed a downtrend channel (A-B, C-D). It will only turn positive if it can break out of this channel with high volume (i.e. above 0.66). Until then the trend is down. Supports at 0.55 & 0.45. Break below 0.45 should be viewed very negatively though its unlikely to happen. RSI is down, Daily MACD trending down tho still positive. It is resting on the 10-day MA, but the 21-day MA should offer better support. Outlook is therefore for a short term downtrend from here.


3) RHB - Seems to be going nowhere. The trend is flat because volume is drying up. Support is at 1.16 & 1.05. Daily MACD negative & RSI is down. Chances are it will fall below 1.16 & find support at 1.05, but don't sell unless this happens. Don't buy either until a better signal is seen.


4) Utama - is trending flat to down. Though the candle looks like a bearish engulfing it is not. An engulfing candle only has real significance at a top or bottom to show a reversal. However the black candle coupled with Daily MACD & RSI trending down and the fact that it has slid below the flagpole top is not so good for Utama. If 1.07 holds & it goes above 1.08, then it is ok. But if not then look for support at 1.00. It is also right on the 10-day Moving Average, but this is not a strong support. The 21-day support at 1.00 is a better support. If it falls below 1.00 then it will turn very bearish with next support at 0.80 - 0.82.

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